Talk:Chest of Ascended Crafting Materials

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Maybe this is a dumb question, but of the rewards, do you get 1 or 2 of each item on that list, or just one or two of those items out of the 4?107.9.177.167 21:10, 17 December 2014 (UTC)

I can only guess, but I would say you get a total of 1 or 2 items—which can be of any kind of the listed ones. poke | talk 00:43, 18 December 2014 (UTC)
I picked this one today, I got a single Vision Crystal and one Deldrimor Steel Ingot. XeroKitsune (talk) 00:40, 13 January 2015 (UTC)
The single Vision Crystal is guaranteed. I also got 2 Spiritwood Planks. User Kirbman signature.png talk 02:51, 13 January 2015 (UTC)
Maybe one could create a drop research for this? to see wether all mats have same chance and how is the rate for 1 or 2 items...88.77.149.234 08:12, 28 January 2015 (UTC)

My drops (across 3 different accounts):

  1. 2 Deldrimor Steel Ingot
  2. 1 Bolt of Damask
  3. 1 Bolt of Damask
  4. 1 Deldrimor Steel Ingot
  5. 2 Deldrimor Steel Ingot
  6. 2 Spiritwood Plank
  7. 1 Elonian Leather Square
  8. 2 Deldrimor Steel Ingot
  9. 1 Spiritwood Plank
  10. 2 Spiritwood Plank
  11. 1 Elonian Leather Square
  12. 2 Spiritwood Plank
  13. 1 Bolt of Damask
  14. 2 Deldrimor Steel Ingot
  15. 2 Deldrimor Steel Ingot

My Totals: 23 items out of 15 chest. (1.533 per chest)

11 Deldrimor Steel Ingot, 3 Bolt of Damask, 7 Spiritwood Plank, 2 Elonian Leather Square

Theory on drops (based on this very limited sample): Perhaps steel and wood have a higher drop rate because of being utilized for weapons. Or maybe Damask and Elonian Leather are rare to retain value? (Leather being the cheapest of all Ascended mats) Cboyd (talk)

With respect, I think you're looking at it the wrong way and jumping to a conspiratorial conclusion. Really, you've had 15 chests that could chose any 1 of 4 materials when opened, so the chances are approx 1-in-4 of getting a given material (there is no doubt a second RNG/coin flip to then decide if you receive 1 or 2 pieces), so with 15 chests we'd expect on average 3.75 chests per material (16 chests would be 4):
15 chests:
  • 6 chests contained Deldrimor Steel Ingot
  • 3 contained Bolt of Damask
  • 4 contained Spiritwood Plank
  • 2 contained Elonian Leather Square
I'd say these are well within the bounds of expected values for such a small sample size. The problem is you've just been unlucky in getting only 1 piece of material instead of 2 every time Damask got chosen (ditto leather), I'm sure there'd be a less of an issue if you'd received 6 damask instead of 3! --BramStoker (talk, contribs) 07:52, 9 October 2015 (UTC)
PS Consider total amounts too, 15 chests could return between 15 and 30 pieces of material in total, and you've received 23 (pretty much the expected average of 22.5 from 15 chests!) --BramStoker (talk, contribs) 07:54, 9 October 2015 (UTC)
I've opened two chests since HoT and got 1 Deldrimor Steel Ingot both times.
I'm well aware that the sample size is very small... I acknowledged that in my first post.
However, I stand by my sentiment that Damask is probably not as likely as the other materials.
Unless you have additional drop information that you'd like to contribute to state otherwise...
Please note that John Smith (who is consulted for drop tables across the game) has been quoted on many occasions as stating that he likes where cloth (i.e. Damask) is.
Also note, the recent changes to leather to try to make leather "more valuable." Cboyd (talk) 19:56, 16 November 2015 (UTC)
Just opened 48 chests (across 5 accounts): 12 damask, 26 leather, 19 deldrimor, 17 spiritwood. I'm inclined to think it's also pretty much an even chance for each, and that I just got a little unlucky with damask (and a little lucky with leather). 73.14.39.103 20:08, 23 November 2015 (UTC)
My findings (over 5 accounts): 1 damask, 2 damask, 1 leather, 2 planks, 1 damask, 2 leather, 2 planks, 2 leather, 1 damask, 1 leather, 1 leather, 1 steel, 2 planks. To me it also looks like there is an even chance for both the amount and the material. - Manassas (talk) 08:26, 12 March 2016 (UTC)